Tuna won't go online before 2028, but can serve as a bargaining chip in the meantime.
As previously reported, Turkish president Recep Tayyip Erdogan made the announcement of the giant gas discovery on August 21, 2020, He said: "Our Fatih drillship discovered 320 billion cubic meters of natural gas reserves, thanks to the drilling in the Tuna-1 well [...]. “Turkey’s newfound hope that low-cost discoveries are feasible will no doubt pave the way for further exploration programs.
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This development was driven primarily by on Wednesday that this would depend on the field’s peak output, which remains estimates that the import price for LNG to Turkey in 2020 will average about declining demand from the power sector, where gas been displaced by renewable Rystad said Rystad to the country’s import costs – between $200 million and $1.5 billion per year “The timing of the discovery could hardly be better, as nearly 40% of Turkey’s contracted import volumes – representing 24 Bcm out of the country’s 59 Bcm per annum imports of pipeline gas and LNG – are set to expire in 2020 and 2021,” says Sindre Knutsson, Rystad Energy’s Vice President Gas Markets.A successful development of the Tuna-1 discovery could offer Turkey significant natural gas supplies at much more competitive terms, taking effect from the field’s estimated startup date of 2028. 2019, thereby representing less than 1 per cent of domestic demand. 71 bcm by 2040. The growth Turkey is, "We further estimate that the average price of Brent-indexed pipeline imports to Turkey will be about $6.40 per MMBtu this year. "Actual savings could be even higher [than $21B ] as global gas prices and import costs are expected to rise in coming years," Rystad said. In any case, The government seems to have grasped the strategic importance of this breakthrough, as demonstrated by its decision to send no fewer than five warships to escort the seismic vessel Oruc Reis through the Mediterranean Sea”, Knutsson concludes. Turkey will be about $6.40 per mmbtu this year.
explains more about how we use your data, and your rights. of imported gas. Rystad Energy estimates the breakeven price for the field to be between $3.00 and $3.50 per MMBtu, significantly below the cost of imported gas, Rystad said. Industrial demand is forecast to reach 23 bcm by 2030, up from 14 bcm in 2019, The country remains heavily dependent on pipeline imports of gas from Russia, Iran and Azerbaijan, which collectively accounted for about 33 Bcm, or 73% of total imports, in 2019. price for 2020. the successful development of the field would represent a substantial reduction A gas discovery of the scale of Turkey’s Tuna-1 find in the Black Sea, if developed, would be transf... Turkey is bringing in another drillship for operations in the Black Sea only weeks after announcing ... Turkey has found significant gas resources in the Black Sea, a discovery which could help the countr... After many years of expensive carbon capture and storage (CCS) studies and test centres, Europe has ... Offshore Wind With over 50 years of experience in the construction, manufacturing, supply and assembly of steel structures, Smulders was the logical choice for offshore wind structures back in the pioneering days of wind energy almost 20 years ago.
development of the Tuna-1 discovery could offer Turkey significant natural gas Sindre Knutsson, Rystad Energy’s VP for gas markets, said: “The timing of the discovery could hardly be better, as nearly 40 per cent of Turkey’s contracted import volumes – representing 24 Bcm out of the country’s 59 bcm per annum imports of pipeline gas and LNG – are set to expire in 2020 and 2021”. Rystad Energy estimates that Turkey’s pipeline imports will fall from 33 Bcm in 2019 to 30 Bcm in 2020, while total LNG imports will increase by 50% from 12 Bcm in 2019 to 18 Bcm in 2020. If Turkey develops the giant Tuna-1 (Danube-1) gas discovery, it could potentially save the country up to $21 billion in import costs, Rystad Energy estimates. LNG has outcompeted pipeline gas in Turkey this year, driven by a vast oversupply in the LNG market that has caused spot prices to plunge. Energy forecasts that Turkish demand for gas will rebound to 59 bcm by 2030 and
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