Notable: the San Diego paper sees it … The Cardinals can also shoot the lights out, having made 38 percent from behind the arc (17th in the country). The Duke president was the only one who would put his foot down and say “no.” That proceeding with the ACC tournament was the wrong move. Carey, a freshman, is a national player of the year candidate after averaging 17.8 points and 8.8 rebounds in the regular season. Duke has 85.29% odds to win its first game and reach Friday’s semifinals and 61.88% odds to reach the title game. “We’ve been spoiled to watch Zion and [Jayson] Tatum and Bagley,” Krzyzewski told reporters in February. 6 team and headed for a 2-seed. 5 spot in Ken Pomeroy’s ratings, one of the most-cited metrics in the sport. Duke’s Justin Robinson earns ‘Rudy’ comparison from Mike Krzyzewski, Virginia’s rise takes another step with win over Louisville on senior day, Yeshiva looks ahead to its first Sweet 16 and another uncertain week, Anthony Cowan Jr. and Mark Turgeon butted heads all the way to a Big Ten title. Florida State went from being unranked in the preseason to a top-10 team, and it is No. No other school has claimed more than two tournament titles in Greensboro since 1967, the first year the tournament was held here. NCAA basketball bracketology and games to watch: Mid-majors’ moment. The most frequent lineup used by Krzyzewski pairs junior Jordan Goldwire and freshman Wendell Moore Jr. with Carey, Jones and Stanley, but that lineup has only played 20 percent of the time. That rises to 77 percent if the predicted scoring margin is seven points. The Blue Devils are an ACC-best 103-45 in ACC Tournament action with a league record 21 titles. The goal may not be to get all eligible teams in the field (that would be 346 teams) but rather to open discussions on ways to leverage March and April for the NCAA and member schools to recoup some losses. After Duke, though, Louisville, Florida State and second-seeded Virginia have the best odds to win the ACC title. The conference handles the ACC part of the schedule and schools like Duke… They are adept at getting second chances via offensive rebounds, and they score 112 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 32nd in the country. One thing to keep in mind: this may be a strategic opening gambit. Duke held the ball for 19 and a half minutes longer than Syracuse and had two backs top 100 yards rushing. The ACC Tournament starts on Tuesday, and Duke should fare well, according to online gambling and analysis sites that have released odds on the tournament. Louisville lost to Florida State twice, but the Cardinals have an otherwise-solid résumé, including a victory against Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. That actually improved slightly to 39 percent against ACC opponents, the best mark in the conference. Stanley has hit 31 of 86 (36 percent) from behind the arc and is one of the best at converting points on the fast break (1.3 points per possession in transition, 87th percentile). The rest of the roster has been in flux. The Seminoles are tenacious on defense and are one of the best teams in the country at forcing turnovers, generating steals and blocking shots. To determine how likely Duke is to win the ACC tournament, we can begin by projecting each possible matchup from the ground up, starting with an estimated number of possessions for each team and taking into account any additional possessions to be had via offensive rebounds and turnovers. Despite being the No. 3 seed Louisville. The Wolfpack has four quality wins — home victories over Wisconsin and Duke in addition to road wins against Syracuse and Virginia — plus an offense that is ranked 38th in the country, per Pomeroy’s opponent-adjusted ratings. The Blue Devils have a 95% chance of making the round of 32, 72% to make the Sweet 16, 51% to make the Elite Eight and 34% to make the Final Four. Duke has a 13.1% chance of winning the title, which is second best in the field, behind Kansas (19%). He discusses facing the Orange this year and the process of learning to win, Duke junior Joey Baker is planning on a season with empty stands. That includes Duke’s No. 5 seed N.C. State could be a surprise. Orange You Glad? The Blue Devils are favored against the Orange and will look to get its up-tempo offense clicking. Duke has 100% odds of getting a bid, a 98% chance of getting a top four seed and a 23% chance of getting a 1-seed. He's busy preparing for the Orange's 3-3-5 defense, Duke got blown out by Syracuse last year, which coach David Cutcliffe calls "a real low point." He's also impressed with DJ Steward. Duke Blue Devils (21) TV partner(s) ESPN, ACCN: Official website : TheACC.com Men's Basketball: Sponsors; New York Life: The ACC Men's Basketball Tournament (popularly known as the ACC Tournament) is the conference championship tournament in basketball for the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC). Duke Coach Mike Krzyzewski might not have any NBA lottery picks, but his squad does feature Vernon Carey Jr., Tre Jones and Cassius Stanley. Compare that to last year’s most-used Duke lineup featuring Zion Williamson (used 34 percent of the time); or the season before, when Trevon Duval, Grayson Allen, Gary Trent Jr., Marvin Bagley III and Wendell Carter Jr. were used as a unit more than half the time. Jones, named the ACC player of the year Monday, is a talented playmaker with an ability to find teammates when he’s isolated against a defender (1.3 points per possession, ranking in the 84th percentile, per Synergy Sports). It is easy to see that Krzyzewski has attempted various combinations in an effort to maximize his team’s strengths. “That’s not who we have. No. The 2020 ACC tournament is unique when you look at where the traditional powers are seeded. Here are some reactions to the ACC proposal for an open tournament in 2021. The biggest challengers to Duke in this week’s event include top-seeded Florida State and No. The model at TeamRankings.com has Duke as the favorite to win the ACC Tourney, at 45% probability. Except for 2020, when it was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the tournament … Unless he gets into foul trouble, he is going to dominate around the rim and in the post. Funderburk and Manny Bates around the rim. The ACC tournament has been held 26 times at Greensboro (N.C.) Coliseum, with Duke and North Carolina each winning eight conference championships at the venue. He said it's "probably unlikely" that fans will be able to see the Blue Devils in person and the team is preparing to bring their own energy, Top Duke 2021 recruiting target Caleb Houstan named his final four schools, and the Blue Devils made the cut. He thinks they'll "get into" opponents. Here are some reactions to the ACC proposal for an open tournament in 2021. The ACC area reactions are mostly at the top while others are below. By this method, Duke has a 32 percent chance of winning its 22nd ACC tournament title. … Kansas is the team to beat but as we have seen they have some weak points that can be exploited in the tournament. Duke has 2/1 odds to win the ACC Tourney, just behind Florida State (7/4) and ahead of Louisville (7/2). The Blue Devils are the sixth-best team in the country, according to Kenneth Massey’s consensus ranking of 63 rating systems. Both are the highest probabilities in the field. Bryce, Pat Andree and Markell Johnson, who complement the work of D.J. Duke has 21% odds of making the title game. The ACC area reactions are mostly at the top while others are below. Once we know the projected scoring margin, we can create an implied winning percentage. Syracuse runs a no-huddle, so things will be moving in the Dome. In one sense, scheduling college basketball games, at least for ACC teams, is probably relatively easy. 4 in the country entering the postseason. Duke Gets First Win Of Season At Syracuse, 38-24. Coach Cut discusses the Blue Devils' sideline mask policy, Duke junior Joey Baker is optimistic about this year's Blue Devils team. This tournament will answer a lot of questions and we will see how they respond in a neutral environment. Shocking allegations about Wichita State’s Gregg Marshall. You shouldn’t be. Coach K will need to beat out Michigan, Virginia and Alabama to add Houstan to his class, Duke junior Joey Baker is ready to take on a leadership role with this year's Blue Devils. The ACC tournament has been held 26 times at Greensboro (N.C.) Coliseum, with Duke and North Carolina each winning eight conference championships at the venue. Duke's running game showed signs of rounding into form last week. Is the former Blue Devil ready to take off for Detroit? The Wolpack’s press defense has also been stout, allowing opponents to score just 30 percent of the time, which ranks in the 94th percentile, per Synergy Sports. ACC men’s basketball coaches on Wednesday voted unanimously to back a proposal to include every eligible Division I team in the 2021 NCAA tournament. Deon Jackson believes he and Mataeo Durant are beginning to get into a groove. While some coaches have been taken to task for being lax about masks on the sideline, David Cutcliffe and Duke have been careful and disciplined. According to Pomeroy, Duke is scoring 116 points per 100 possessions while allowing 91 points per 100 possessions, resulting in the highest net efficiency (adjusted for opponent) of any team in the ACC. We'll have updates and analysis all game long. Kihei Clark, often the smallest player on the court, is playing a large role for Virginia. He is a beast on the offensive glass (12 percent rebound rate, with 1.3 points per possession on putbacks) and has shown some range (8 for 21 on three-pointers) but has struggled at the free throw line (67 percent). He says he still has "a sour taste in my mouth" from the game. So this week could feel familiar, even with North Carolina mired in a miserable season: Signs point to fourth-seeded Duke as the favorite to win the title again. Then, estimated scores are derived by multiplying those respective possessions by the teams’ adjusted offensive rating found at Pomeroy’s site. 4, while the … He's also working on being a more vocal leader, patterning himself after Jack White, Deon Jackson remembers last season's 49-6 loss to Syracuse. The ACC Tournament starts on Tuesday, and Duke should fare well, according to online gambling and analysis sites that have released odds on the tournament. Think Virginia will be their biggest test, and then Florida State/Louisville. The Duke Blue Devils settled in at No. He thinks the team's versatility will help Duke be strong on defense. N.C. State has a quintet of solid spot-up shooters in Jericole Hellems, Braxton Beverly, C.J. We have an old-fashioned team that needs for everybody to be hungry.”. Seven crowns have come at the Greensboro Coliseum, where Duke is 39-18 in tournament … Despite being the No. For instance, teams that are favored by two points would have an expected win probability of 57 percent. The most important news stories of the day, curated by Post editors and delivered every morning. That’s down from a 27% chance of being a 1-seed a week ago and 83% chances three weeks ago. By signing up you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy, Reporter analyzing advanced sports statistics for The Washington Post, Interpretation of the news based on evidence, including data, as well as anticipating how events might unfold based on past events. Still, the Blue Devils had to overcome turnovers and mistakes to get past the Orange, Duke heads north looking for the season's first win at Syracuse. Surprised? 4 seed, the Blue Devils are the second most-likely team to cut down the nets, according to BetOnline. Notable: the San Diego paper sees it as a cynical power play while Kentucky.com’s John Clay, somewhat surprisingly, says he’s okay with it. Duke … Looking ahead to the NCAA Tournament, TeamRankings has the Blue Devils as the No. 6 standing in the NCAA’s NET ranking, used for seeding in the NCAA tournament, plus its No.
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